The main risk of this option is poor emergence. “Deep-planted wheat normally has below-normal emergence, so you should use a higher seeding rate,” he said. “Of course, any rain that occurs before the seedlings have emerged could add additional soil into the seed furrow, making it even harder for the coleoptile to reach the soil surface.”

A third option would be to wait for a rain and then plant.  “Under the right conditions, this would result in good stands, assuming the producer uses a high seeding rate and a starter fertilizer, if appropriate,” Shroyer said.

The risk of this option is that the weather may turn rainy and stay wet, preventing the producer from planting, he said. The soil could remain unprotected from the wind until spring planting, he said.

Crop insurance considerations and deadlines will also play a role in these decisions, Shroyer said.